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This interactive map shows the all the evacuations, shelters, and areas the fire has hit.

Just after 5 a.m. Friday, the Thousand Oaks fire jumped the south side of the 101 Freeway at Chesebro Road near Calabasas. In response, California Highway Patrol shut down a four-mile stretch of the 101 Freeway from Las Virgenes Road to Kanan Road.

“Early this morning, as the fire transitioned through Agoura Hills, the fire jumped the 101 Freeway right around Liberty Canyon, mid-slope, caught wind, and became quickly established at where we were at today,” L.A. County Deputy Fire Chief David Richardson told reporters at a morning news conference.

The entire city of Malibu was under an unprecedented mandatory evacuation, in addition to areas south of the 101 Freeway, from the Ventura line to Malibu Canyon. The fire was burning south of Mulholland Highway and around 10:30 p.m. flames jumped Pacific Coast Highway, headed toward The Colony on Malibu Road.

Residents were advised to use PCH to evacuate, and to avoid using canyon roads. All four lanes of PCH were opened for southbound traffic at 12:45 p.m. Complicating matters were the traffic signals that were knocked out of service. Drivers were being advised to use the 405 Freeway up to the 118 Freeway in order to get around the backup.

Despite evacuations in Malibu and flames threatening near campus, Pepperdine University called for students and staff to shelter in place.


A free community screening Hawaiian: The Legend of Eddie Aikau.
                                                                                       

It's Wednesday, so here's some Wipeout photos from last month's ZJ Boarding House's Haunted Heats Surf Contest in Santa Monica.     








      We post new sets of wipeout photos every Wednesday (more or less).   Click: Wednesday Wipeouts to check out the previous Wipeout Wednesday photo sets.   

El Nino is developing, will this winter rival past greats?
You’ve heard there’s an El Nino hitting this winter, so the waves are going to be pumping, right? Well, not exactly. El Nino is simply a term referring to warmer than normal water temperatures over the equatorial Pacific along with the subsequent response from the atmosphere it entails (where the storms/high pressure are). While strong El Nino conditions do correlate well with surf being larger than normal, El Nino’s don’t ‘hit’ and those years falling into the weak to moderate varietal have a tendency to go both ways. Some weak to moderate years are better than the norm, while others are pretty abysmal.

So while El Nino conditions are favored to develop in the next couple months and stick around for the winter of 2018-19, the projections across the models favor a weaker El Nino event. With the widespread of surf outcomes, weak to moderate El Nino’s make for shaky foundations when issuing a forecast spanning the entire winter. Boring as it may be, something in the realm of ‘normal’ is favored for the lot of locations we’ll feature here – Hawaii, the Pacific Northwest, Northern and Central California, and Southern California. Below, normal, or better than average, the winter is the undisputed king for size potential. Looking back at the top ten largest swell events for each data point over the last 35+ years, we found 95% occur in the winter. An interesting aside, the remaining five percent can be accredited to tropical swells.

Another thing we noticed when looking back at other weak to moderate El Nino events since the early 2000’s is the tendency to have a stronger December, while surf heights are down but holding fairly steady for January and February. While this isn’t too far off the mark for Hawaii and is the climatological norm for places like the Pacific Northwest, Northern and Central California, and especially Southern California are usually best after the holidays. An in-depth look at the numbers for weak to moderate El Nino events favors a slightly slower than normal winter in terms of size, and fewer days fair or better. A best-case scenario seems it would be a winter more akin to the weak El Nino of 2014-15. That saw Hawaii in more size and close to the same number of quality days of surf, while the entirety of the West Coast was close to the norm in size but trounced the normal number of quality days.

Southern California

Average Winter Conditions

Late fall/early winter there’s a higher potential for lingering combo swell
WNW swell potential increases JFM as lows drop further south
December through March offer the best potential of the year for significant swell events
Conditions often favorable, and it is peak season for Santa Ana events with December typically seeing the most Santa Ana events while January holds those lasting longest

What to Expect this Winter

Near to slightly below normal size – though the more we push into ‘moderate’ El Nino conditions we see increasing odds for more size
Stronger December, with January showing potential to trail below the norm
Days with favorable conditions close to slightly below the norm, an inside-slider storm track – storms moving ashore in the Pacific NW and dropping south to the east of the Sierra’s – often results in small surf and offshore flow

Through Friday, November 8th: Small (to very locally fun) SSW swell trends down through the end of the week. Small NW swell picks up Wednesday before easing Thursday. Light morning winds prevail, with offshore flow possible late this week

Frankie's Bikinis first ever pop up store.
Grand opening: november 17th, 10am - 7pm
9528 Brighton Way. Beverly Hills, CA 9021
If you snap a pic in front of the storefront and tag Frankie's Bikinis on Instagram, they’ll DM you with a surprise discount code.