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The latest Live Fuel Moisture reading is 70%, down from 74% and below the historical average of about 80% for this time of year, indicating vegetation is continuing to dry and becoming more available to burn.
Live Fuel Moisture measures the water content of living vegetation and is a key indicator of wildfire potential. Large fires can develop when readings are in the 70%–80% range, especially with heat, low humidity, and strong winds. At about 60% or lower, vegetation burns much like dead fuel and conditions become critical.
The current Smokey Bear fire danger level is Moderate, meaning fires can start and spread through dry vegetation, particularly when winds increase or humidity drops.
Fire potential in the Santa Monica Mountains is moderate, with locally elevated concern on hotter, drier interior slopes, ridgelines, and wind-exposed areas. Coastal Malibu should remain somewhat cooler and more humid, but the low 70% live fuel moisture means fires could still spread rapidly if ignitions occur during gusty winds and low humidity. Over the next 10 days, inland Los Angeles County faces greater concern, with wind gusts of 25–40 mph, humidity as low as 5%–15%, and temperatures of 90–105 degrees.
A slight chance of monsoonal thunderstorms begins Sunday. Early storms may produce lightning with little rainfall, increasing the risk of new fire starts.
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